Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.173526 3.548167 3.953837 4.426469 4.962899 5.553858 6.255618
2024-10-27 2.499484 2.969923 3.514846 4.195262 5.025669 6.010652 7.274104
2024-11-03 2.174610 2.705351 3.352410 4.204593 5.305146 6.688972 8.577169
2024-11-10 1.981565 2.559907 3.295406 4.308076 5.679683 7.492101 10.100306
2024-11-17 1.805457 2.407648 3.201321 4.336313 5.937913 8.147465 11.479250
2024-11-24 1.662187 2.279347 3.118794 4.360404 6.177987 8.785056 12.887307
2024-12-01 1.540934 2.166701 3.042361 4.377742 6.399243 9.404505 14.323878
2024-12-08 1.404212 2.018150 2.898888 4.278696 6.430478 9.733305 15.335380
2024-12-15 1.307114 1.917914 2.815071 4.257206 6.571260 10.234453 16.666266
2024-12-22 1.216776 1.819693 2.724754 4.214676 6.669811 10.670356 17.927403
2024-12-29 1.185754 1.808884 2.765815 4.381086 7.118594 11.718463 20.359171
2025-01-05 1.120477 1.739003 2.707834 4.379370 7.282952 12.296051 22.009830
2025-01-12 1.050244 1.657817 2.628208 4.339066 7.384684 12.787484 23.588221
2025-01-19 0.948956 1.519176 2.444817 4.106623 7.126522 12.607812 23.860033
2025-01-26 0.902079 1.467281 2.401799 4.114451 7.300819 13.238160 25.805289
2025-02-02 0.875512 1.447463 2.411157 4.215195 7.654381 14.240503 28.635217
2025-02-09 0.838770 1.407415 2.382160 4.242699 7.869944 14.993954 31.035581
2025-02-16 0.804299 1.368866 2.352733 4.266200 8.078398 15.751944 33.542623
2025-02-23 0.771464 1.330948 2.321525 4.283119 8.274002 16.501321 36.127665
2025-03-02 0.724985 1.265438 2.235445 4.186451 8.228541 16.736303 37.544265
2025-03-09 0.692430 1.223333 2.189789 4.165476 8.337246 17.311709 39.847186
2025-03-16 0.659505 1.178537 2.136103 4.123966 8.397997 17.786048 41.963896
2025-03-23 0.654111 1.185098 2.180678 4.286382 8.914489 19.342621 47.047538